Category: Weather, Tides & Geography

Maybe We Really Can Trust Weather Forecasts

By , August 22, 2018

One of the classic American truisms is that you can’t trust the weather report. We all learned at our parents’ knees that weather forecasts are unreliable, untrustworthy, comically inadequate.

Well, maybe in their day, but today one had best believe the forecast by default—in my opinion.

Take Tuesday, for instance.

The day’s weather forecast predicted that rain would start after 1 p.m.

Nevertheless, the morning dawned clear and calm. We saw a glorious sunrise (with not a touch of red—you know, “red sky at morning sailors/shepherds take warning”—at least that we saw).

Sunrise over Lynn Canal

Aly took this photo from her cottage window Tuesday morning (Photo: Sarah A. Zeiger).

After some uncertainty, we decided to behave as if the forecast would prove true.

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“Real” Rain

By , June 30, 2018

A recent local news story shocked us: a weather expert told us that we are experiencing a drought.

Drought in a temperate rain forest doesn’t look like drought elsewhere. We haven’t had weeks or months of pounding heat or relentless sunshine. Generally, our weather has been colder and wetter than normal. April through June comprise our dry season; it’s easy to focus on them, and decide the year hasn’t been very dry, but in fact, it has. That has us concerned.

rainy day

A welcome rainy day. The rhubarb is especially pleased (Photo: Mark A. Zeiger).

The garden should be getting an inch of rain daily at the moment. We can barely keep it watered. Usually, by now, we’ve switched to the summer water source, but we held off (see Fresh Water: Collecting and Conserving a Precious Resource). Now, there’s no new water coming into the summer water, nor can we hear anything coming into the winter tank.

So, Friday’s rain, gentle though it may be, was very welcome!

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